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Canadian Dollar Update March 29, 2019 – Canadian dollar quiet ahead of GDP

March 29, 2019

The Canadian dollar has rallied on stronger than expected GDP data out in Canada. This has boosted the loonie as the results were better than expected.

The Canadian dollar was sidelined in overnight trading. In fact, almost all of the major G-10 currency pairs drifted quietly in narrow trading bands. The exception was the British Pound.
GBPUSD fell from 1.3089 in Asia to 1.3012 just after the European session started. Prices inched higher and then soared to 1.3133 as the debate preceding the third Brexit vote began. Prices have bounced between 1.3080 and 1.31233 since the open of the Toronto session. Some MP’s suggest that today’s vote is the last opportunity for the UK to secure the legal right to extend article 50 until May 22.

There were a lot of economic data releases in the UK today including nationwide Housing Prices, Q4 GDP, Current Account and Total Business investment. Q4 GDP at 1.4%, q/q was a tad better than expected, but the data was ignored.

EURUSD languished in a narrow 1.1225-1.1237 range in Asia, then dropped to 1.1211 in early Toronto trading before rebounding to 1.1235. There were more European Central Bank (ECB) officials reminding markets of the ECB’s dovish bias. Benoit Coeure said that interest rates would remain unchanged until the end of 2019, which helped maintain the EURUSD bearish bias and undermined the Canadian dollar in the process.

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USDJPY rallied as Asia traders took a tweet from US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin as evidence that the China/US trade talks were going well. Mr Mnuchin said” USTradeRep and I concluded constructive trade talks in Beijing. I look forward to welcoming China’s Vice Premier Liu He to continue these important discussions in Washington next week.” USDJPY got additional support from rising US Treasury yields.

Asia equity indices climbed on the back of the improved China/US trade outlook, and that gave AUDUSD and NZDUSD a lift. However, the gains were erased in Europe when the US dollar started to climb.

USDCAD traders sat on their hands during the overnight session. Broad US dollar demand supported the currency pair while steady to firm oil prices capped the topside. Traders are looking ahead to this mornings January GDP data which is expected to be flat, which is a result compared to Decembers 0.1% decline. The risk to the estimates stems from the impact of Alberta’s oil production cuts.

US data includes Personal Income and Spending, New Home Sales and Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. There are a host of Fed speakers, but markets will be focused on the Brexit vote, Wall Street and be alert for month end/quarter end portfolio rebalancing flows

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By Admin | March 29, 2019 | Daily Update | 0 comments