November 2020: FX Outlook
Economic Outlook and Summary Markets have continued to surge following the elections as investors move towards riskier assets in anticipation of little policy change, due to expected gridlock in the senate. The USDCAD continues to trade at relatively lower levels amidst skyrocketing coronavirus cases throughout the US and political tensions as Trump refuses to concede. […]
October 2020: FX Outlook
Economic Outlook and Summary Markets have remained relatively stable with investors adopting risk-averse sentiments ahead of the nearing election results. The USD has pulled back, as expected, as individuals prepare for uncertainties surrounding the administration’s policy bearings for the next four years. Equity markets have largely recovered, demonstrating stability as they set new highs; however, […]
September 2020: FX Outlook
Economic Outlook and Summary Interest rates remain flat within the 0-0.25% range as Chair Jerome Powell reiterates the Federal Reserve’s plans to hold interest rates until 2023. Despite largely recovering to pre-pandemic levels in early September, equity markets have pulled back due to risk-averse sentiments and investors are beginning to question the valuations of tech […]
August 2020: FX Outlook
Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve announced a neutral stance in its July meeting, holding rates in the 0-0.25% range. Equity markets continue to surge, as tech leads the push and employment numbers remain positive. Despite the positivity, investors are increasingly adopting a risk-off sentiment as elections approach. The uncertainty is amplified by a […]
July 2020: FX Outlook
Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve interest rate currently stands at 0-0.25%, with a neutral rate announcement expected at the end of the month. Equity markets continue to surge, and the job market posts gains significantly above expectation for the month of June. Despite this positivity, pessimism grows surrounding the decreasing likelihood of a […]
June 2020: FX Outlook
Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve interest rate currently stands at 0-0.25%, with suggestions of a neutral stance into 2023. Although retail investors seemed bullish as they rushed to take advantage of the markets, rising concerns over the potential of a second wave and an extended recovery has resulted in deteriorating sentiments. The White […]
FX Monthly Outlook – May 2020
Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve interest rate currently stands at 0-0.25%, with considerations of a negative interest rate as the effects of the coronavirus continue to weigh on the economy. The rates and forward policies follow a significant downturn in the markets, as COVID-19 continues to keep many non-essential services closed. The service […]
FX Monthly Outlook – April 2020
Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve interest rate currently stands at 0-0.25%, with expectations of a neutral stance throughout 2020. The rates followed a significant downturn in the markets, as Covid-19 resulted in a State of Emergency declaration, forcing many non-essential businesses to shut down. Despite this, investors are exhibiting slightly positive sentiments in […]
FX Monthly Outlook – February 2020
Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve interest rate currently stands at 1.5-1.75%, with expectations of a neutral stance throughout 2020. The neutral stance is supported by higher-than-expected job growth and inflation, registering an increase in payroll by 225,000, and an inflation rate of 2.5%. Further growth is expected to remain within 2% for 2020, […]
FX Monthly Outlook – January 2020
Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve interest rate currently stands at 1.5-1.75%, with expectations of a neutral stance during their January 28th and 29th meetings. The neutral stance is supported by moderate job growth and inflation, registering an increase in payroll by 145,000, and an inflation rate of 2.3%. Further growth is expected to […]