Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve interest rate currently stands at 0-0.25%, with a neutral rate announcement expected at the end of the month. Equity markets continue to surge, and the job market posts gains significantly above expectation for the month of June. Despite this positivity, pessimism grows surrounding the decreasing likelihood of a […]

Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve interest rate currently stands at 0-0.25%, with suggestions of a neutral stance into 2023. Although retail investors seemed bullish as they rushed to take advantage of the markets, rising concerns over the potential of a second wave and an extended recovery has resulted in deteriorating sentiments. The White […]

Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve interest rate currently stands at 0-0.25%, with considerations of a negative interest rate as the effects of the coronavirus continue to weigh on the economy. The rates and forward policies follow a significant downturn in the markets, as COVID-19 continues to keep many non-essential services closed. The service […]

Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve interest rate currently stands at 0-0.25%, with expectations of a neutral stance throughout 2020. The rates followed a significant downturn in the markets, as Covid-19 resulted in a State of Emergency declaration, forcing many non-essential businesses to shut down. Despite this, investors are exhibiting slightly positive sentiments in […]

Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve interest rate currently stands at 1.5-1.75%, with expectations of a neutral stance throughout 2020. The neutral stance is supported by higher-than-expected job growth and inflation, registering an increase in payroll by 225,000, and an inflation rate of 2.5%. Further growth is expected to remain within 2% for 2020, […]

Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve interest rate currently stands at 1.5-1.75%, with expectations of a neutral stance during their January 28th and 29th meetings. The neutral stance is supported by moderate job growth and inflation, registering an increase in payroll by 145,000, and an inflation rate of 2.3%. Further growth is expected to […]

Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve proceeded with a neutral stance in their December rate announcement, with the prospect of undertaking additional open market operations—in the form of short-term coupon-bearing securities. Progress in the trade war prompted positive sentiments in the markets as phase one of the agreement will require China to purchase approximately […]

Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve announced an interest rate cut of 25 basis point—to 1.50-1.75%. Quantitative easing continues to provide moderate support for the economy as the reserve continues to repurchase treasury bill—maintaining the funds rate within range. Additionally, the US-China trade war remains unclear as the two parties indicate differing outlooks. Following […]

Economic Outlook and Summary The Federal Reserve signaled towards a dovish stance in early-October as it announced it will begin to purchase Treasury bills and conduct overnight repurchase agreements—a sign of short-term quantitative easing. Additionally, the US agreed to hold tariffs at 25% and China agreed to purchase 40-50 billion dollars of US agriculture, signaling […]

Economic Outlook and Summary After strong economic indicators demonstrated an increased probability of a recession in the U.S, investors will be looking towards the Federal Reserve as they expect a rate-cut of 25 basis points. Despite a strong August for employment and business activity, an inversion of the 10- and 2-year yield curve and the […]